Monday, October 25, 2010

College Football Week 9 Preview

A third week, a third No. 1 falls. Oklahoma was stunned on the road against Missouri as the Tigers landed possibly the biggest win in the program's history.

Looking at the top 5 games I highlighted, I went 3-2 and now am at 30-10 on the year after eight weeks. Arkansas quickly rebounded after being run over by Auburn. While Wisconsin's hard fought victory over Ohio State the week before certainly prepared them for Iowa's gritty play. However, Iowa fell just short and the Badgers might be on the road to the Big Ten title and much more.

In possibly a bigger shootout than expected, Nebraska rebounded by outscoring Oklahoma State, one of the country's highest scoring offenses. That type of performance shows the versatility of the Cornhuskers. That leads me to Missouri, who used crafty offense and key defensive plays to shock Oklahoma. The two Big 12 squads tested each other and Missouri's heart was too much for Oklahoma's talent.

Finally, in another SEC classic; Auburn found another way to win a tough close game as they outlasted LSU. It was as physical as expected and QB Cam Newton continues his rise.


Now on to Week 9 with a bunch of big games.

Games featuring top 25 teams/some that might be interesting:

Thursday, October 28
No. 16 Florida State at North Carolina State: Florida State is continuing to reestablish themselves as a national power. However, NC State is fully capable of shocking the Seminoles at home.

Friday, October 29
West Virginia at Connecticut: This one could ultimately decide the winner of the Big East.

Saturday, October 30
Texas Tech at Texas A&M: This one can either be a big scoring affair or a field goal battle.

No. 1 Auburn at Mississippi: Auburn is the new #1 and the bullseye is now on them. In the SEC, there are no off weeks.

Michigan at Penn State: Both are in the second tier of the Big Ten, but the play of both will be like the two are fighting for a conference title.


And of course, the top 5 games to watch this week.

Top 5:

5) Georgia at Florida: Both are playing below their usual standards. South Carolina seems to be the driver's seat, but the winner could find themselves ready to slide into the top spot in the SEC East if South Carolina falters. This rivalry is usually high paced. The Gators seem to have the slightly better squad this time around. PREDICTION: FLORIDA

4) No. 25 Baylor at Texas: This is a weird reversal of fortunes game. Texas enters as the underdog and are playing at home on top of that. However, they were not favored against a much better Nebraska and shocked and many observers. Baylor is a program on the rise and this could provide a statement for them in the conference. With all that said, Texas will fight, but Baylor does enough to claim a victory that can help build their program. PREDICTION: BAYLOR

3) No. 2 Oregon at No. 24 USC: USC would love to play spoiler for Oregon as they cannot challenge for a national title. The skill players will play fast and provide headaches for the Trojans' defense. The game will be close early, but Oregon's talent will separate the two. PREDICTION: OREGON

2) No. 5 Michigan State at No. 18 Iowa: Michigan State is having one of its best seasons, but a loss on the road to Iowa can trip up their big hopes and dreams this year. Essentially, the Spartans control their own fate in the Big Ten and the right conditions could land them in the national title game. It will be a grind it out type of game. Iowa goes up late before Michigan State sinks an even later dagger. PREDICTION: MICHIGAN STATE

1)No. 6 Missouri at No. 14 Nebraska: Missouri shocked Oklahoma last week. Now they must refocus to avoid being beaten by Nebraska and having a letdown. The Tigers will be tested just as much again this week by another tough defense. The Cornhuskers have also shown an ability to score a lot too. Missouri will certainly bring their best again, but they will need to build a big advantage to prevent a letdown. However, Nebraska keeps it close and does enough on both sides of the ball late to slide by Missouri. PREDICTION: NEBRASKA

Can Auburn break the trend of No. 1's losing? How will Missouri play this week after beating Oklahoma? The winding road nears November and the big picture will start to look a lot more clear.

College Football Week 9 Power Rankings

The eighth week featured a few big matchups including #5 Auburn over #7 LSU.

TOP 25 (Entering Week 9)
Rank(last week)
1)(1) Oregon: at #24 USC
2)(2) Boise State: vs Louisiana Tech
3)(3) TCU: at UNLV
4)(5) Auburn: at Mississippi
5)(6) Alabama: IDLE
6)(8) Utah: at Air Force
7)(10) Michigan State: at #18 Iowa
8)(11) Wisconsin: IDLE
9)(12) Ohio State: at Minnesota
10)(19) Missouri: at #15 Nebraska
11)(4) Oklahoma: vs Colorado
12)(7) LSU: IDLE
13)(14) Stanford: at Washington
14)(13) Arkansas: vs Vanderbilt
15)(17) Nebraska: vs #10 Missouri
16)(16) Arizona: at UCLA
17)(15) Florida State: at North Carolina State
18)(9) Iowa: vs #7 Michigan State
19)(20) South Carolina: vs Tennessee
20)(18) Oklahoma State: at Kansas State
21)(21) Miami (FL): at Virginia
22)(22) Virginia Tech: IDLE
23)(25) Mississippi State: vs Kentucky
24)(NR) USC: vs #1 Oregon
25)(NR) Florida: IDLE

Dropped out of the top 25: West Virginia, Texas

The next best 5 for Week 9:

Nevada: vs Utah State
Syracuse: at Cincinnati
Michigan: vs Penn State
North Carolina State: vs #17 Florida State
Baylor: at Texas

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

College Football Week 8 Preview

One week after Alabama fell as the top team in the nation, Ohio State followed suit by losing to Wisconsin in a smash mouth win for the Badgers. The pressure now falls to Oklahoma to keep that top spot for at least a week.

Looking at the top 5 games I highlighted, I went 3-2 and now am at 27-8 on the year after seven weeks. Florida suffered its third loss as they could not get enough going against Mississippi State as the Bulldogs landed a major victory for their program. Things were also tight in a "minor" Big Ten matchup as Iowa put another dragger in Michigan's season.

As predicted, Texas was able to somehow put the tough losses behind them and shock Nebraska. Nebraska now falls behind Oklahoma in the race for the Big 12's top spot and potential place in the title game. Texas might be able to use this win as momentum.

Speaking of momentum, Ohio State quickly lost any they had as the new number one team. Wisconsin used their biggest advantage: their offensive line and running game to their advantage. They wore out Ohio State and took control by the 4th quarter.

Lastly, Arkansas could not keep up with Auburn in what turned out to be a shootout of sorts with overall 100 points scored between the two team. Auburn QB Cam Newton continued to shine while Arkansas QB Ryan Mallett could not do enough to keep up with Newton.

Now on to Week 8 with a bunch of big games.

The top 5 games to watch this week.

Top 5:

5) Mississippi at No. 23 Arkansas: There is something about SEC games. They tend to be close, feature drama, and a few spectacular plays. The Razorbacks will be hungry to avenge the loss to Auburn. PREDICTION: ARKANSAS

4) No. 13 Wisconsin at No. 15 Iowa: Wisconsin is coming off knocking off No.1 Ohio State. They need to bring the same intensity against Iowa. The Hawkeyes have a good mix on both sides of the ball, but Wisconsin's offensive line and running game should set the tone again. PREDICTION: WISCONSIN

3) No. 16 Nebraska at No. 14 Oklahoma State: This one will feature a very good Nebraska defense against a potent Oklahoma State offense. Which side of the ball sets an early advantage could give themselves the necessary edge needed to win this type of game. Oklahoma State WR Justin Blackmon will be the top target for the Cornhuskers defense to focus on and how they play him will also go a long way in shaping this one. A couple of big plays separate the Cowboys. PREDICTION: OKLAHOMA STATE

2) No. 1 Oklahoma at No. 11 Missouri: Oklahoma finds themselves in the dreaded #1 spot in the polls. Something that has doomed Alabama and Ohio State in back to back weeks. The Tigers certainly have the talent and should make this one interesting. The Sooners have multiple weapons that will pose problems for the Tigers' defense, who are often underrated. That defense holds up most of the game before folding late. PREDICTION: OKLAHOMA

1) No. 6 LSU at No. 4 Auburn: The SEC once again is in the top matchup spot. This one will have different paces and physical play. Auburn QB Cam Newton will be balanced out by LSU's few big playmakers. Auburn will be in another seesaw match that once again features them doing enough late. PREDICTION: AUBURN

A lot continues to be on the line this week. Oklahoma is looking to avoid being the third #1 team to lose. LSU and Auburn could be battling for crucial positioning in the national title hunt. And, upsets are always on the forecast.

Monday, October 18, 2010

College Football Week 8 Power Rankings

The seventh week provided us with the second straight week of a #1 falling as Ohio State joined Alabama.

TOP 25 (Entering Week 8)
Rank(last week)
1)(2) Oregon: vs UCLA
2)(3) Boise State: IDLE
3)(4) TCU: vs Air Force
4)(5) Oklahoma: at #19 Missouri
5)(7) Auburn: vs #7 LSU
6)(8) Alabama: at Tennessee
7)(9) LSU: at #5 Auburn
8)(10) Utah: vs Colorado State
9)(13) Iowa: vs #11 Wisconsin
10)(14) Michigan State: at Northwestern
11)(18) Wisconsin: at #9 Iowa
12)(1) Ohio State: vs Purdue
13)(11) Arkansas: vs Mississippi
14)(15) Stanford: vs Washington State
15)(16) Florida State: IDLE
16)(17) Arizona: vs Washington
17)(6) Nebraska: at #18 Oklahoma State
18)(20) Oklahoma State: vs #17 Nebraska
19)(24) Missouri: vs 4 Oklahoma
20)(12) South Carolina: at Vanderbilt
21)(22) Miami (FL): vs North Carolina
22)(NR) Virginia Tech: vs Duke
23)(NR) West Virginia: vs Syracuse
24)(NR) Texas: vs Iowa State
25)(NR) Mississippi State: vs UAB

Dropped out of the top 25: Florida, Nevada, Michigan, Oregon State

The next best 5 for Week 8:

Florida: IDLE
Nevada: IDLE
Michigan: IDLE
USC: IDLE
North Carolina State: IDLE

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

College Football Week 7 Preview

After five weeks of seeing a couple top teams fall, the top team in the nation finally dropped in week six. South Carolina sprung the upset over the defending champion Alabama Crimson Tide. They used their run game and turned the defensive tables on Alabama. Ohio State now is poised in the driver's seat with Alabama's fall.

Looking at the top 5 games I highlighted, I went 4-1 and now am at 24-6 on the year after six weeks. Stanford was able to bounce back, but still struggled at times outlasting USC. The same feeling of outlasting their opponent was felt by Michigan State. They did enough when it mattered to get by Michigan. The Wolverines opened the year with a shocking start, but now look to be back around the middle of the pack in the Big Ten.

There was no close, down to the wire feeling in a game that usually has it. Florida State looked like a superior team in Miami as they took down the Hurricanes. However, the SEC restored the tight game factor to close out the day. First, LSU went on the road and was able to use a few key plays to deliver a second loss to the Tim Tebow-less Gators. The mode in Gainesville seems a bit different as they now fall behind the winner of the game of the weekend. That winner was South Carolina, which shocked most out of Tuscaloosa. The Tide seemed to have control of the game at points, but the Gamecocks never gave up and kept fighting. It might a leading contender for game of the year even.


Now on to Week 7 with a bunch of big games.

Games featuring top 25 teams/some that might be interesting:

Saturday, October 16
No. 20 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech: This one has the very good potential to feature lots of scoring.


And of course, the top 5 games to watch this week.

Top 5:

5) Mississippi State at No. 22 Florida: This one could be interesting purely based on Mississippi State's good defensive efforts at times this year. If they can stymie Florida's at times slow offense, they might be able to upset the Gators in the Swamp. The Gators barely survive a surprising nail biter. PREDICTION: FLORIDA

4) No. 15 Iowa at Michigan: The Big House will be a little less excited after a crushing loss to Michigan State, but they can put a wrinkle in Iowa's path to the Big Ten title. It should still be a tough road game for Hawkeyes, but they will do enough like Michigan State did to outlast Michigan's somewhat one dimensional offense. PREDICTION: IOWA

3) Texas at No. 5 Nebraska: Despite the fact that Texas enters with two losses, this one should and will be close. The Cornhuskers are in a very good spot to leap a couple teams to find themselves playing for a national title. That is why the pressure will be high for Nebraska because they should win the Big 12 North, but that is not what you play for Lincoln, NE. Call it a hunch or simple pride, but Texas does enough and forces a couple of big turnovers. PREDICTION: TEXAS

2) No. 1 Ohio State at No. 18 Wisconsin: Ohio State is the new #1 after Alabama's loss and must beware of their reign only lasting a week. Wisconsin plays smart and tough and their run game wears out the best teams when it gets going. This will be low scoring early and the pace will pick up a bit before slowing down again. The fast pace that could develop after halftime might allow Ohio State QB Tyrelle Pryor to score a couple times. Wisconsin fights back, but falls just short. PREDICTION: OHIO STATE

1) No. 12 Arkansas at No. 7 Auburn: The SEC finds itself once in the game of the week slot. This time Arkansas heads to Auburn. This one should be a track meet with two red hot quarterbacks when they are on. Auburn QB Cam Newton has been more consistent in big moments this year than Arkansas QB Ryan Mallet. The Razorbacks could have and probably should have upset Alabama, but Mallet cost them a win. Newton does a few special things with the ball and puts this one away. PREDICTION: AUBURN

More great action and Ohio State is the prime team on upset alert this week as the top team in the nation.

NFL Week 6 Power Rankings

The top two remain intact while there is some shuffling with the Saints and Packers suffering rough losses. The Chiefs fell to the Colts and there is no more unbeatens after only 5 weeks.

Here is how the rankings stack up for Week 6:

Week 6
Rank (Last week)
1)(1) Baltimore Ravens (4-1): They seem to have their running game back and will duel it out with Pittsburgh for now for bragging rights.
2)(2) Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1): They return from a break with their quarterback in position to make a run against the league.
3)(5) New York Jets (4-1): Another good game by the defense as QB Mark Sanchez has yet to make a bad mistake.
4)(6) Atlanta Falcons (4-1): They are doing enough of the right things and now find themselves in great position in the NFC South with the Saints sliding.
5)(8) New England Patriots (3-1): They come off the break with a new yet old receiver replacing WR Randy Moss.
6)(9) Indianapolis Colts (3-2): Was not pretty at times, but efficient enough for them.
7)(11) Chicago Bears (4-1): Despite horrid quarterback play, their defense and HB Matt Forte were more than enough.
8)(3) New Orleans Saints (3-2): They must continue to ask where their fast paced offense is.
9)(4) Green Bay Packers (3-2): Things are starting to unravel and injuries are piling up.
10)(10) Kansas City Chiefs (3-1): A tough first loss to swallow, but they kept QB Peyton Manning from throwing a touchdown.
11)(7) Houston Texans (3-2): Their defense looked like they were a shell of their potential selves.
12)(17) Washington Redskins (3-2): This team continues to show some grit and got a big win.
13)(20) Tennessee Titans (3-2): They took advantage of a sloppy Cowboys team.
14)(18) New York Giants (3-2): Another solid defensive game has to have them thinking they can win the NFC East with this style of play.
15)(21) Philadelphia Eagles (3-2): Not bad, but not great in terms of their offensive performance.
16)(14) Miami Dolphins (2-2): They return from a bye with some work to do.
17)(16) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1): They continue to surprise the league by already matching last year's win total.
18)(23) Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2): They did what they were supposed to do: beat up on a bad team.
19)(26) Arizona Cardinals (3-2): They found a way to get to QB Drew Brees and steal a big win.
20)(12) Minnesota Vikings (1-3): Another victory taken away by an error by QB Brett Favre despite his second half.
21)(13) Dallas Cowboys (1-3): The panic button might be about to be hit very soon if they don't start playing like a contending team.
22)(15) San Diego Chargers (2-3): The up and down ride for their season continues.
23)(19) Cincinnati Bengals (2-3): They are still missing a few pieces to complete games.
24)(22) Denver Broncos (2-3): They need more production from their running game and defense.
25)(28) Oakland Raiders (2-3): They finally broke the strangle hold the Chargers had on them for 7 years.
26)(24) St. Louis Rams (2-3): QB Sam Bradford has probably loss his top weapon for the season.
27)(25) Seattle Seahawks (2-2): They had a week off and come back with a new weapon at running back.
28)(30) Detroit Lions (1-4): Talk about getting their first win.
29)(27) Cleveland Browns (1-4): Their quarterback situation is banged up and have Pittsburgh ahead.
30)(29) San Francisco 49ers (0-5): More costly mistakes lead to another loss.
31)(31) Carolina Panthers (0-5): Doesn't seem to matter who starts at quarterback, the results are the same.
32)(32) Buffalo Bills (0-5): More of the same as they can't seem to find a way to win.

3 teams remain without a win and two 1-3 squads (Dallas and Minnesota) are set to face up in a big game at this point in the year for both.

Monday, October 11, 2010

A view from a conservative perch

Sometimes as a moderate or realist, it is tricky to comprehend how certain liberal or conservatives politicians or commentators think. They offer opinions that reflect their ideologies, but are they just the best perspectives for their side? During this chaotic primary season, we have seen base voters especially and most prominently conservative voters choosing candidates that might not be the strongest in a general election. Winning base voters is only half the battle as to win competitive elections, you need to appeal to Independents and even some opposing party voters. House races allow more conservative or more liberal candidates to thrive. But, some House districts do provide a tense matchup and one must monitor how extreme they get with their believes. That is taken further in Senate races, where you definitely have to campaign for votes outside of your base in the majority of races.

So, to allow a little perspective into the conservative mind; I turned to Marc Thiessen and a pair of articles written by Thiessen. Both of Thiessen's articles point to staying true to your ideology despite better party prospects if conservatism is not the only option. Thiessens's opinion has been shared by other conservatives as they will almost certainly the U.S. House back, but their pure ideology stance might cost the Republicans the U.S. Senate; something they are okay with.

The first article by Thiessen spoke of true conservatives in the U.S. Congress. One of the last surprises of the primary season was Christine O'Donnell's victory over Congressman Mike Castle (R-DE-AL) in the Republican primary in Delaware. Her victory was made possible due to much outside support including Senator Jim DeMint (R-SC). Members of the "establishment" were not exactly happy with DeMint's move. However, for those like Thiessen; he was embracing a "true conservative". Someone who does not fall under that label for many like Thiessen is Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). Murkowski lost the Republican primary in Alaska to Joe Miller, the Tea Party candidate; but is going to run as an Independent. That decision does not sit well with conservatives who fall more in line with DeMint's thinking and actions. Murkowski lost and that should be reason enough for her to fade into the background.

For conservatives like Thiessen, Murkowski should be attacked the same way DeMint was. She should be viewed as an Independent and not a member of the Republican minority in the U.S. Senate. He points to others like Charlie Crist in Florida doing the same thing and betraying the party for their own personal interests. Thiessen's analysis is part of the hazed view on that perch because Republican primary voters are not the only voters voting in states like Alaska or Florida this November. That is why Murkowski is running: she represents a comprehensive group of the voting electorate while Miller only truly appeals to the conservative base voters that paved the way to his victory. Plus, one must always consider complacency as several Murkowski voters stayed home not giving Miller a chance; the opening he needed to close the gap so fast.

For true conservatives, it is candidates like Murkowski who are dividing the party as opposed to the Tea Party candidates. It has been the Tea Party and their energy at the base of the Republican Party that is giving Republicans the opportunity to regain the U.S. House and/or the U.S. Senate this fall. Thus, when comments regarding Tea Party candidates costing more victories; Thiessen and others find that hard to believe.

It is best to stick to ideologies and principles. That is what leads to Thiessen's second piece. Having a majority without true conservatives is not the desired result for those supporting the conservative movement this year. It would be better to still be the minority with a growing number of conservatives in Congress. Conservatives dedicated to cutting spending and not conducting business as usual. That is what candidates like Castle in Delaware represented. Or what Murkowski represents in Alaska.

As Thiessen sees it, the Tea Party and conservatives around the country are reshaping not only the country in their minds, but reforming the Republican Party. The Republican Party has committed some faults over time that bring about outsider candidates in so many primaries. It is where the energy is driven and at the core of more conservative candidates winning primaries. So are more viable than others, but a few losses are worth it if over the next couple election cycles a conservative majority is elected to the U.S. Congress.

Being in the minority in the Senate is not terrible if there is close to 50/50 membership from both parties. Having more than 40 seats associated with the minority party allows it to filibuster and prevent legislation from being "rammed through". That is why minimal gains is an accepted outcome because more conservatives like a Rand Paul in Kentucky or Marco Rubio in Florida would rein in the Democratic control.

The Olympia Snowes or Susan Collinses are viewed negatively amongst conservatives because they have voted with Democrats in the past. Potentially new senators like Paul or Rubio would be much less likely inclined to flip as easily on matters important to conservatives.

Thiessen views the results of 2010 with primary challengers will force more moderate Republicans to gauge what they do because they could end up like Castle and others falling short in party primaries due to more challenges from the far right.

Ultimately as Thiessen sees it from his perspective:

Bottom line: Positive change in the Senate does not depend on the GOP taking the majority in November. Besides, even if Republicans were to win the House and Senate, President Obama is not likely to respond by declaring "the era of big government is over." The only way to end the era of big government is to elect a majority of fiscal conservatives. If that requires a few election cycles, so be it.

That seems to be what the view from the conservative perch is becoming and is. Democrats tend to bend on their ideologies when necessary while Republicans are only becoming more and more tied to their ideology. It is an all or nothing strategy that Thiessen and others like DeMint are willing to stick to. It might reap some successes or some failures, but it is staying true to their base. That seems to be the ultimate takeaway as the Republican Party is being reformed too much by their far right and conservative base.

College Football Week 7 Power Rankings

The sixth week gave us a few more top 25 matchups including #18 South Carolina knocking off #1 Alabama as the Tide seek a repeat championship.

TOP 25 (Entering Week 7)
Rank(last week)
1)(2) Ohio State: at #18 Wisconsin
2)(3) Oregon: IDLE
3)(4) Boise State: at San Diego State
4)(5) TCU: vs BYU
5)(6) Oklahoma: vs Iowa State
6)(7) Nebraska: vs Texas
7)(8) Auburn: vs #11 Arkansas
8)(1) Alabama: vs Mississippi
9)(9) LSU: vs McNeese State
10)(10) Utah: vs Wyoming
11)(11) Arkansas: at #7 Auburn
12)(18) South Carolina: at Kentucky
13)(13) Iowa: at #23 Michigan
14)(16) Michigan State: vs Illinois
15)(18) Stanford: IDLE
16)(21) Florida State: vs Boston College
17)(12) Arizona: at Washington State
18)(20) Wisconsin: vs #1 Ohio State
19)(14) Florida: vs Mississippi State
20)(23) Oklahoma State: at Texas Tech
21)(22) Nevada: at Hawaii
22)(15) Miami (FL): at Duke
23)(17) Michigan: vs #13 Iowa
24)(NR) Missouri: at Texas A&M
25)(NR) Oregon State: at Washington

Dropped out of the top 25: West Virginia, Air Force

The next best 5 for Week 7:

West Virginia: vs South Florida
Air Force: at San Diego State
Virginia Tech: vs Wake Forest
Texas: at #6 Nebraska
North Carolina State: IDLE

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

NFL Week 5 Power Rankings

Once again there is a shift at the top as Baltimore jumps Pittsburgh after a 17-14 win. The top ten had a bit of shuffle overall with most notably Indianapolis slipping after another loss. The Chiefs remain as the last unbeaten coming off a bye.

Here is how the rankings stack up for Week 5:

Week 5
Rank (Last week)
1)(3) Baltimore Ravens (3-1): They find themselves in a nice position in their division and the league despite not so great play from stars like QB Joe Flacco and HB Ray Rice.
2)(1) Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1): A tough loss to Baltimore, but they will get back Big Ben and should be a serious threat with that defense.
3)(4) New Orleans Saints (3-1): Another close win has to have them worried about their slow offense.
4)(5) Green Bay Packers (3-1): Their offense has been missing a step without HB Ryan Grant.
5)(6) New York Jets (3-1): Three straight division wins have them in the AFC East driver's seat.
6)(7) Atlanta Falcons (3-1): Close wins show mettle as they struggled early and still won.
7)(9) Houston Texans (3-1): They get LB Brian Cushing back and might be able to make some serious moves in the AFC South.
8)(10) New England Patriots (3-1): They were vastly improved on defense and special teams against the Dolphins largely due to SS Patrick Chung.
9)(2) Indianapolis Colts (2-2): Another tough loss in the division has them at .500.
10)(15) Kansas City Chiefs (3-0): They will get the chance to prove if they are for real against the Colts.
11)(8) Chicago Bears (3-1): The health of QB Jay Cutler might be in jeopardy due to the bad play of the offensive line.
12)(16) Minnesota Vikings (1-2): They need to start picking up some wins despite a tough schedule or face a tough climb out of a deep hole.
13)(17) Dallas Cowboys (1-2): They come off a break and need to pick up where they left off.
14)(11) Miami Dolphins (2-2): Back to back tough losses in the division at home will make the climb to the division crown that much tougher.
15)(19) San Diego Chargers (2-2): They continue to at least rebound big time after a bad loss. They just need to win two in a row now.
16)(18) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1): They have kind of slid by so far, but their schedule will continue to test if they are for real.
17)(22) Washington Redskins (2-2): A nice win for QB Donovan McNabb against his former team.
18)(23) New York Giants (2-2): Their defense looked like their '07 version destroying QB Jay Cutler all night.
19)(12) Cincinnati Bengals (2-2): A sluggish offense needs to be fixed if they are to repeat last year's success.
20)(13) Tennessee Titans (2-2): This team continues to play up and down.
21)(14) Philadelphia Eagles (2-2): The quarterback carousel will continue again.
22)(24) Denver Broncos (2-2): A big day for QB Kyle Orton has this team somewhat back on track.
23)(25) Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2): They got a big kick at the end to stun the Colts.
24)(26) St. Louis Rams (2-2): 2 wins in a row can build confidence for the team and its young quarterback.
25)(20) Seattle Seahawks (2-2): Their strangle hold over the Rams has been released.
26)(21) Arizona Cardinals (2-2): They have been beaten badly in losses this year and wins haven't been that good either.
27)(31) Cleveland Browns (1-3): A big victory as they finally finish a game.
28)(27) Oakland Raiders (1-3): Some more predictable mistakes that some injuries aren't helping.
29)(28) San Francisco 49ers (0-4): The only solace they have is their division is not strong.
30)(29) Detroit Lions (0-4): Not enough balance in Motown.
31)(30) Carolina Panthers (0-4): This team looks like they are in disarray; somewhat unusual for them.
32)(32) Buffalo Bills (0-4): They continue their division woes losing 3 games already.

Another top ten matchup this week featuring the 2-2 Colts vs the 3-0 Chiefs. Four teams still don't have a win.

Monday, October 4, 2010

College Football Week 6 Preview

Intense conference rivalry games highlight the docket last week. Two top ten teams fell out of the top ten largely based on the fact that they were facing a top ten team. Another powerhouse in recent years, Texas, took another tough hit with the loss and eliminated their chances of going back to the national title game barring a crazy two months ahead.

Looking at the top 5 games I highlighted, I went 4-1 and now am at 20-5 on the year after five weeks. Iowa had little trouble at home with Penn State as costly mistakes only contributed to the ease for the Hawkeyes. While in another Big Ten battle, the Michigan State Spartans outlasted the Wisconsin Badgers. It was everything the Iowa-Penn State battle was not. Michigan State looks to be a surprise team this year and both Wisconsin, who just lost to them, and Ohio State, a perennial Big Ten conference winner, know their capabilities. It creates a three team race with Iowa potentially as fourth dark horse in that conference.

And speaking of conference races, for much of the last decade Oklahoma and Texas have jockeyed for the right to be crowned Big 12 conference champions. The winner of the annual Red River Shootout has normally gone onto represent the South division in the conference in the conference title game and most times tends to go a BCS bowl game. Despite Texas' loss before the game, the hype was still high and the game tightened up at multiple occasions before Oklahoma's talent advantage and experience came through when it counted.

Another recent heated rivalry was about as much as a dud as Penn State-Iowa. Florida and Alabama are the last two national champions. Alabama did not have to deal with Florida QB Tim Tebow this year and it showed as they had little trouble moving the ball and dominating the Gators as they take a big step to potentially defending their title.

Finally, Stanford and Oregon was a tale of two halves. The first half looked like a Stanford rout, but their advantage quickly disappeared and Oregon was the team doing the destruction. The Ducks found ways to solve Stanford QB Andrew Luck's hot start and showed why they could find themselves as one half of the national title game. Despite the loss, Stanford could still find themselves in that same picture or least run the table.


Now on to Week 6 with a bunch of big games.

Games featuring top 25 teams/some that might be interesting:

Saturday, October 9
No. 11 Arkansas v Texas A&M: Arkansas is looking to rebound after a tough loss to Alabama and A&M has shown much improvement. Arkansas QB Ryan Mallet might be the difference in this one, but a mistake or two again could spring a big win for the Aggies.

Pittsburgh at Notre Dame: Their records are not flashy, but they have had some heated battles in the past. They both come in desperate for a win and it will likely bring out some very good football.

Oregon State at No. 9 Arizona: Arizona has an attack defense and a very good quarterback with QB Nick Foles. Oregon State entered the year with some promise. The fact that it is a conference matchup will make this matchup one to watch as it should come down to the wire.


And of course, the top 5 games to watch this week.

Top 5:

5) USC at No. 16 Stanford: USC has taken a bit of a step back the last couple years after dominating the Pac-10 for much of the decade. The Trojans are playing for pride this year after NCAA violations. QB Andrew Luck and Stanford are looking to recover after a tough blowout to Oregon. USC would love to play spoiler to Stanford especially considering Stanford cost USC a shot a national title a few years ago. Stanford has a bit more talent and the better quarterback. PREDICTION: STANFORD

4) No. 17 Michigan State at No. 18 Michigan: This battle for Michigan usually involves Michigan trying to challenge for a Big Ten crown with Michigan State trying to spoil their season. The two squads are very close in talent and skill now with Michigan State possibly having the edge. Michigan QB Denard Robinson will need to utilize all his abilities if they are to put the Spartans away. The Spartans defense against Robinson could be the key point of the matchup. After last week, Michigan State looks like a tough-minded team to beat. PREDICTION: MICHIGAN STATE

3) No. 23 Florida State at No. 13 Miami (FL): This has been a prime battle in the state of Florida for years. The kicker has often factored in these games in the past. Florida State looks to be on the way back as does Miami (FL), which adds to this game. QB Christian Ponder of Florida State vs QB Jacory Harris of Miami (FL) might be the ultimate x-factor in this one. Harris has had flashes of greatest, but comes up short in big games. The Hurricanes are at home, but something tells me the Seminoles will have a few surprises under new head coach Jimbo Fisher. PREDICTION: FLORIDA STATE

2) No. 12 LSU at No. 14 Florida: The Tigers and Gators are the winners of three of the last four BCS title games. The Swamp will be hyped up as these top SEC squads have a lot at stake. A loss by LSU would put them behind Alabama for a shot at SEC West while Florida would suffer its second loss and virtually be fighting for a top bowl game. The Tigers and especially their head coach Les Miles seem to play scrappy and do just enough. The lack of experience like last week will rear its ugly head again and the Tigers edge out a big road victory. PREDICTION: LSU

1) No.1 Alabama at No. 19 South Carolina: Alabama does not catch a break after surviving big SEC battles with Arkansas and Florida as they now go on the road to face South Carolina. South Carolina head coach Steve Spurrier has turned around the Gamecocks and led by freshman HB Marcus Lattimore this team could trip up Alabama. The Tide is road tested and road tough. They somehow got past Arkansas on the road and they will need to be resourceful, but a late score and big defensive effort will allow them to survive again. PREDICTION: ALABAMA

As the season continues forward, the SEC has a couple big matchups that could shape the title game.

College Football Week 6 Power Rankings

The fifth week saw multiple top 25 matchups with a big one in the SEC with #1 Alabama over #7 Florida.

TOP 25 (Entering Week 6)
Rank(last week)
1)(1) Alabama: at #18 South Carolina
2)(2) Ohio State: vs Indiana
3)(5) Oregon: at Washington State
4)(3) Boise State: vs Toledo
5)(4) TCU: vs Wyoming
6)(8) Oklahoma: IDLE
7)(7) Nebraska: at Kansas State
8)(9) Auburn: at Kentucky
9)(11) LSU: at #14 Florida
10)(12) Utah: at Iowa State
11)(13) Arkansas: vs Texas A&M
12)(14) Arizona: vs Oregon State
13)(15) Iowa: IDLE
14)(7) Florida: vs #9 LSU
15)(16) Miami (FL): vs #21 Florida State
16)(24) Michigan State: at #17 Michigan
17)(18) Michigan: vs #16 Michigan State
18)(19) South Carolina: vs #1 Alabama
19)(17) Stanford: vs USC
20)(10) Wisconsin: vs Minnesota
21)(23) Florida State: at #15 Miami (FL)
22)(NR) Nevada: vs San Diego State
23)(NR) Oklahoma State: at LA Lafayette
24)(NR) West Virginia: vs UNLV
25)(NR) Air Force: vs Colorado State

Dropped out of the top 25: USC, Texas, Penn State, North Carolina State

The next best 5 for Week 6:

Missouri: vs Colorado
USC: at #19 Stanford
Texas: IDLE
Oregon State: at #12 Arizona
Kansas State: vs #7 Nebraska